Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000660 0.000755 0.000855 0.000969 0.001094 0.001228 0.001381
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000502 0.000631 0.000778 0.000957 0.001166 0.001402 0.001687
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000409 0.000549 0.000717 0.000931 0.001191 0.001496 0.001878
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000353 0.000502 0.000689 0.000936 0.001247 0.001623 0.002105
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000312 0.000468 0.000671 0.000947 0.001306 0.001750 0.002333
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000264 0.000418 0.000626 0.000918 0.001309 0.001805 0.002469
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000223 0.000374 0.000584 0.000888 0.001306 0.001847 0.002588
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000198 0.000348 0.000564 0.000886 0.001338 0.001935 0.002766
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000178 0.000326 0.000548 0.000887 0.001373 0.002026 0.002948
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000157 0.000303 0.000527 0.000878 0.001393 0.002096 0.003104
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000138 0.000279 0.000504 0.000863 0.001402 0.002151 0.003238
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000130 0.000272 0.000505 0.000886 0.001465 0.002280 0.003477
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000120 0.000263 0.000503 0.000903 0.001521 0.002403 0.003712
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000106 0.000243 0.000481 0.000887 0.001528 0.002456 0.003850
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000092 0.000222 0.000455 0.000864 0.001521 0.002486 0.003956
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000084 0.000212 0.000447 0.000869 0.001556 0.002580 0.004154
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000077 0.000204 0.000443 0.000880 0.001602 0.002689 0.004375
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000067 0.000186 0.000418 0.000852 0.001585 0.002703 0.004459
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000168 0.000393 0.000823 0.001564 0.002710 0.004530
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000159 0.000383 0.000822 0.001586 0.002783 0.004701
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000151 0.000375 0.000822 0.001613 0.002863 0.004883
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000042 0.000142 0.000364 0.000814 0.001624 0.002919 0.005030
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000037 0.000132 0.000349 0.000800 0.001624 0.002957 0.005150